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An overall investment analysisIn September 2011 ( October 4 for the US) a low has been set in the S&P 500 Index. Made by this low we rose to the end of February/middle March in 2012. There?s a big chance that we?ve seen the high in the Dutch AEX Index. Inside the USA-indexes we've a possible top OR it'll can be found in future 2 weeks.According to the sentiment (very bullish), the volatility (decreasing) en the market place patterns we are forming a top within the markets. You can take actions we utilise based on the past to forecast future price action and everything points toward a top throughout area surrounding half March till ethe end of March 2012.An explicit indicator gives us the ?assurance? that afterwards we will get a durable trend. Based upon cycles, our trend indicator and Gann composites the assumption at the moment is we are able to have a decline till June-July.Lama Forecasting is working for quite some months now on an trading system established on our cyclical forecasts. In addition to that we utilise an explicit ?indicator? for entering our trades.By using a special algorithm in our own made program we could see the most dominant cycle based upon past price history. The plan calculates this automatically. This is usually a big help for our particular stock market analysisThe long cycle enjoyed a top around February 20 but this still is the top at this point. The short cycle is down and also has a flip March 6. When the cycle low will deliver a low throughout Dutch AEX Index or even a high (inversion inside the short cycle) is not really clear at the moment.Elliott Wave Analysis AEX A top is produced throughout AEX upon the good prospect with some confirmations: On a trend line from March 2009 Along at the bottom of a Andrews pitchfork Skillful in a corrective channel At the top of a wedge Negative divergence in the full stochasticWithin the stock market forecast scenario that the top has long been observed in the Dutch AEX Index we must always see a correction with 290 as first target. The up move is explained to a working corrective pattern from the September 2011 low. If such move ends up being corrective we can expect a big move down.AEX and S&P 500 price Among the many methods we utilise for making a forecast would be the so named Mass Pressure Chart. This is usually a composite of comparable years. Using this method we come across a large in March and after that a decline to the end of June. This is a decline of three months. Phase is confirmed by our special indicator wich also indicates we can easily expect a trend in this length.By no means is this a guarantee however it reinforces the predictionWhat we wrote a while back is still valid: ?The trend expires and up for an extended period of time.Stock Market The concept that we ll go up further is therefore in no way strange one. Cyclical analysis shows there?s still room for more up movement despite potential downward pressure in the horizon?.Article Source